https://analista.in/10.71182/aijmr.2606.0401.5005

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Abstract

This research investigated with the growth performance, instability patterns, and decomposition components of the major millet crops, such as pearl millet, sorghum, and small millets across the Bundelkhand district of Uttar Pradesh. It indicates that the years 2002 to 2012 have been characterized by a large decline in area and a negative growth in production during most of the districts especially in pearl millet and small millets. The analysis of instability shows that the variability of sorghum in terms of area and production is the most widespread among districts, and the instability of yield is relatively moderate. The decomposition analysis indicates that during early growth, growth was dominated by the contribution of yield, but recent trends indicate that there is growing contribution of the area expansion and interaction effects which indicate with changing cropping choices and potential policy impact. Although shrinkage has occurred historically, the current (2017-2022) shows slight recovery in the few districts that were chosen, which indicates that there is a renewed interest in climate-resistant millets. The results highlight that policy interventions that target the area stabilization, productivity improvement, and market support are necessary in the Bundelkhand district in order to foster sustainable millet production in the area.

Keywords: Millets, Instability Index, Decomposition Analysis, Productivity Improvement, Compound Annual Growth, Temporal Differences

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